Caraz #1, and here’s how he can stay there until the end of the season

The 19-year-old Spaniard threatened by Nadal, Ruud and Tsitsipas: Here are the trophies and points to snatch to assert himself as king. Zverev will not be in the race: The German has not recovered from injury in Paris and will return in 2023

With nineteen-year-old Spaniard Carlos Alcaraz as the new king of world tennis, the final part of the season that will bring 2022 to the ATP Finals has begun in Turin. But who will be #1 at the end of the year?

what’s left

From now until the end of the year, there are only 8 weeks of tournaments: the first two are for the ATP 250 (San Diego and the Metz next Monday, Seoul, Tel Aviv and Sofia from September 26 to October 2), then one to the ATP 500 (Tokyo and Nur-Sultan), Two more are for 250 (Florence and Gijon from October 10-16, Naples, Antwerp and Stockholm from October 17-23), another one to 500 (Basile and Vienna from October 24-30), and one at 1000 in Bercy (Shanghai canceled) And finally the last one for the ATP Finals in Turin.

competitors

The points you will get (excluding the Tournament Masters) are only 3000, but no big player is planning to participate in all the tournaments: winning all the matches from here to the ATP Finals means getting 2000 points max. Therefore, tennis players with a delay of no more than 2,000 karaz points in the race can be considered in the struggle for first place in the world. In yesterday’s race, Alcaraz leads with 6460 points, Nadal is second with 5810 points, Rudd is third with 4885 points, and Tsitsipas is fourth with 4630 points. Who looks hopelessly cut short is Medvedev who is only in fifth place with 3,375 points. In the past 10 years, seven times out of the ten first-place finishers at the end of the US Open have also been at the end of the season and this bodes broadly in favor of Alcaraz who has a small advantage over Nadal, but more substantial over Ruud and Tsitsipas. From now until the end of the year, the game is played exclusively on hard courts and this favors the US Open finalist over Nadal, who is never comfortable on the fast indoor track.

Italians

As for Matteo Berrettini and Jannick Sener’s ATP Finals hopes, the Azzurri pair are divided by just 5 points: Berrettini is in 13th place with 2,225 points, and Sener is 14th with 2,220 points. There is less opponent: Zverev will not be in the match due to an injury that will rule him out until next year. The Italians are more than 600 points behind Felix Auger-Aliassime, almost seventh and final in qualifying because eighth place should go to Wimbledon champion Novak Djokovic (provided that Noll wraps the year among the world’s top 20). Last year, net injuries, Sener scored many points after the US Open victory over the Masters: 250 for a win in Sofia, 250 for a win in Antwerp, 180 for the semi-final in Vienna, 90 for the last 16. in Indian Wells and 10 for Bercy’s second round. A total of 780 points against 135 in Brittany only (45 in Indian Wells and 90 in Vienna). With 5 players already qualified (Alcaraz, Nadal, Ruud, Tsitsipas and Djokovic), Berrettini and Sener must race against Felix Auger-Aliassime, Andrey Rublev and Daniil Medvedev to enter the field at Bala Albitor in Turin.